I am thankful to the many companions of the road (more than 26!), who at one time or another have contributed, under my direction, to the development of this website.
Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides a first-of-the-art understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).
A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”.
Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît Rossignol,Gilles Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created for more than 100 days, are available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (www.covidminute.com).
I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)
I.1 France D.Day – 25 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days) and Europe:
1/ France The dynamics of indicators (new cases, hospitalizations, re-insurance beds) are still green in France:
2/ vigilance zones (IDF, Guyana / near Brazil
I.2 Europe: no second wave in countries who lifted restrictions before France
Note that some countries (Greece, Finland, Ireland…) declare certain results only on a weekly basis.
I.3 World – size equation : still around 120k daily new cases reported
In terms of incidence, Brazil is still in the epidemic phase (30k cases reported, in the last 3 days),) while the USA is still at a level of 20k cases/day for 45 case days…
Iran, following: some mention a possible “second wave” in this country where the opacity of the facts is likely, especially since the first cases were to Italy:
Note that the situation in Iran questions different experts (remember that the first cases were in Italy): if the official number of C-C is 150k with 8k victims (5%), more than one estimate that the figures would be multiplied by 5 (40k) for deaths (cf health structures), and by 3 for C(C) .
Some equations of dimensions will be interesting to practice, while replacing the country in its physical-demographic dimensions, so as not to conclude too quickly ….
Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.
Overall prevalence: : 7M cases reported in the last 6 months and 400 k deaths
By country :
IMPACT: 13,0000 new cases detected yesterday
Detail space time vision:
3.1 Cases declared: 30k at Brazil-20k in the USA-10k in India and Russia
3.2 In terms of mortality, Brazil is also in the head:
V. COVID FLOW: Iran
Our “Covidminute” team provides you with the “Covidflow” interactive web pags (accessible on the link below), displaying multiple metrics on the epidemic for over 200 countries as well as the American states.
5/ TOMORROW:A cinetic comparison, of the 3 months of epidemy in Europe: France, Italy, Spain, Germany.
Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.
Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle
Dr Guillaume ZAGURY
“All success is collective” thanks to:
o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed Fadel, Dr. Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,
o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)
o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.
o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”
o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation
If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development
computer (all the others have been volunteering for 88 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (email@example.com).
Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you