THE BRIcs in the epidemic phase: let’s monitor the Indian subcontinent

Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides  a first-of-the-art  understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).

A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”. 

Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît  Rossignol,Gilles  Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created  for more than 100 days, will soon be available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (

I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)

I.1 France D.Day – 21 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days) and Europe:

no second wave observed (less than 100 new cases yesterday, versus 4000 at the time of peak) , but let’s remain “vigilant” (no equivalent historical model and the Spanish Flu of 1918-19 in 2 phases)

I.2 Dynamic: France follows Italy 10 days apart

I.3 Europe: no second wave observed

I.4 World: Still more than 100k reported cases

Monitor Latin America (including more than 50% of cases in Brazil) Russia, and the Indian subcontinent still in epidemic phase

I.5 In total:

More than 100 Wuhan in the world, in a global East-West movement (Asia, Europe, USA) that should normally remain there: but let’s be vigilant.


Source John Hopkins


Analysis: our volunteer team has returned to work and as a result, we spar the analyses, with a rhythm of 2 weekly analyses.

We maintain  our  “360 reporting”  on a daily basis  and  will react  in  case of a new news d`actualiteitem.  


II .World: The BRIcs are coming: after Brazil and Russia, will the Indian subcontinent (under a problem declaration) become an epidemic hotbed?

Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.

Prevalence: 3M (3,1) of active cases confirmed for observation

Historical vision: 6 M of historically  stated cases  and 3M  currently  under observation


By Continent: 40% of cases in the USA, 20% in Latin America and Europe, 10% in Russia…

By Country:

Top 10 countries

United States 1.19 M (yesterday 1.18 M)

Brazil 280k (yesterday 264k)

Russia 229k (yesterday 225k)

United Kingdom 200k(maintained at their last known prevalence level)

India 93k (yesterday 90k)

Peru 93k (yesterday 85k)

France 92k (yesterday 92k)

Spain 62k (yesterday 62k)

Chile 56k (yesterday 53k)

Pakistan 43k (yesterday 41k)

Italy 42k (yesterday44k))


108,000 new cases detected yesterday

Short time: more than 100k new daily cases

Long time (January  :  1):  er ) 

Vision Space:

Per continent: 40% of new cases in Latin America, 20% in the USA, 17% in the Indian subcontinent

By country: iconography in minute analysis

By country

Brazil 16k (30k yesterday)

USA 20k (23k yesterday)

Russia 9k (8k yesterday)

India 9 (8k yesterday)

Peru 9k (7k  yesterday)

Chile 5k (4k yesterday)

Mexico 3k (3k yesterday)

Pakistan 3k

Bangladesh 3k

Iran 3k

3 Detail space  time  vision:  

4/ COVID FLOW:  Inde

Our “Covidminute” team provides you with the “Covidflow” base (accessible on our platform: www., and thus gives you all the important elements for 151 countries as well as the American states.

Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.

Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle

Dr Guillaume ZAGURY

“All success is collective” thanks to:

o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed  Fadel, Dr.  Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,

o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)

o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.

o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”

o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation

If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development

computer (all the others have been volunteering for 88 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (

Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you