I am thankful to the many companions of the road (more than 26!), who at one time or another have contributed, under my direction, to the development of this website.
Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides a first-of-the-art understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).
A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”.
Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît Rossignol,Gilles Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations were created for more than 100 days, are available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (www.covidminute.com).
I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)
I.1 France D.Day – 23 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days) and Europe:
Indicators still green in France: 2 regions under watch (IDF, Guyana)
- Lockdown : one of the major measures
- Other assumptions explored : Cross-Immunity (/ other coronavirus for example),Temperature and humidity (winter in Latin America), Natural Cycle, …
I.2 France is still 10 days behind Italy:
I.3 Europe: no second wave in countries who lifted restrictions before France
Note that some countries (Greece, Finland, Ireland,..) declare certain results only on a weekly basis.
I.4 World – size equation: still around 100k daily new cases reported
Geographical approach: Above all the West…
I.5 The most relevant indicator : deaths / 1M pop
Some caution in the interpretation of this charts by non specialists…. ; Toll of the epidemic facts are multi-factorial !
Analysis: our volunteer team has resumed work and as a result, we will publish indepth articles on a bi weekly basis.
We maintain our “360 reporting” on a daily basis and will react in case of a breaking news.
II .World: USA-Brazil-Russia-UK
Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.
Prevalence: 3.3 M active cases confirmed for observation, 40% of which are in the US
IMPACT: 120,000 new cases detected yesterday
Detail space time vision:
III. Relative importance by population:
Will President Trump succeed in reviving the economy sufficiently, after the Covid impact (probably one of the highest rates in the world with Brazil in the long run).
IV. COVID FLOW: South Africa
Our “Covidminute” team provides you with the “Covidflow” interactive web pags (accessible on our platform: www. covidminute.com), displaying multiple metrics on the epidemic for over 200 countries as well as the American states.
Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.
Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle
Dr Guillaume ZAGURY
“All success is collective” thanks to:
o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed Fadel, Dr. Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,
o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)
o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.
o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”
o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation
If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development
computer (all the others have been volunteering for 88 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (firstname.lastname@example.org).
Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you