Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides a first-of-the-art understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).
A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”.
Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît Rossignol,Gilles Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created for more than 100 days, will soon be available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (www.covidminute.com).
I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)
I.1 France D.Day – 18 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days):
Indicators (hospitalizations, reanimation, dead) always green in France (simply IDF, Guyana, Mayotte still in surveillance zone)
Containment: one of the major measures
Different other hypotheses envisaged: Immunity crosses (/ other coronavirus for example),Temperature and humidity (winter in Latin America), Natural Cycle, …
I.2 Vision time: we follow Italy with 10 days lag
Comparative chronological evolution of resuscitation cases France/Italy
I.3 Europe: no second wave in countries with talks before us
Note that some countries (Greece, Finland, Ireland,..) declare certain results only on a weekly basis.
More than 100 k new cases day
Top 10 countries: Brazil in head (epidemic phase) ahead of the USA (trend decline)
II. 360-degree analysis:
Our volubtary team has returned to work and as a result, we spar the analyses, with a rhythm of 2 weekly analyses.
We maintain our “360 reporting” on a daily basis and will react in case of any news
Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.
Prevalence: 3M (2.96) of active cases confirmed for observation
Historical vision: 6 M of historically stated cases and 3M currently under observation
Continent: 55% of cases in America 20% still in Europe, 10% in Russia…
By country :
Top 10 countries
United States 1.17 M (yesterday 1.16 M)
Russia 224k (yesterday 225k)
Brazil 219k (yesterday 220k)
United Kingdom 200k(maintained at their last known prevalence level)
France 90k (yesterday 88k)
India 90k (yesterday 86k)
Peru 78k (yesterday 76k)
Spain 61k (yesterday 60k)
Chile 50k (yesterday 48k)
Italy 48k (yesterday 51k)
Pakistan 40k (yesterday 39k)
2. INCIDENCE: : 116,000 new cases detected yesterday
Long time ( January 1st)
By continent: Latin America for more than 1/3 of cases (and likely under declaration)
By country: cf minute analysis
Brazil 24k (19k yesterday)
USA 22k (20k yesterday)
Russia 8k (8k yesterday)
India 7k (6k yesterday)
Peru 6k (6k yesterday)
Chile 5k (4kyesterday)
Mexico 3k (3k yesterday)
Pakistan, Indonesia, Philippines, Bangladesh, Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Qatar, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Sultanate of Oman, Belarus, Turkey, England, Spain, Sweden, Germany, Italy, Spain, South Africa, Canada, Egypt, Colombia, Ecuador, Argentina, Bolivia: 1 to 2k
IV SPACE TIME TABLE: 3 Country Types (red-yellow-green)
V. COVIDFLOW: The synthese tool
Our “Covidminute” team provides you with the “Covidflow” base (accessible on our platform: www. covidminute.com), and thus gives you all the important elements for 151 countries as well as the American states.
Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.
Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle
Dr Guillaume ZAGURY
“All success is collective” thanks to:
o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed Fadel, Dr. Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,
o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)
o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.
o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”
o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation
If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development
computer (all the others have been volunteering for 88 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (firstname.lastname@example.org).
Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you