Viral dynamics: too much in the West… Is it the East?

Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides  a first-of-the-art  understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).

A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”. 

Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît  Rossignol,Gilles  Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created  for more than 100 days, will soon be available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (

I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)

I.1 France D.Day – 20 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days) and Europe:

Indicators (hospitalizations, reanimation, deaths) always green in France (simply IDF, Guyana, Mayotte still in surveillance zone) and in adjacent European countries:

I.2 World: Still more than 100k cases reported;

monitor Latin America (including more than 50% of cases in Brazil) and Russia still in epidemic phase:

2.1 USA: the peak seems to pass (but already 102k victims)

2.2 Brazil new epicentre (more than 25% of new cases yesterday)

2.3 Latin America and Russia are still in the endemic phase:

2.3 In total: More than 100 Wuhan in the world, in a global East-West movement (Asia, Europe, USA) that should normally remain there: but let’s be vigilant (no equivalent historical model and the Spanish Flu of 1918-19 evolved in 2 phases).


Source John Hopkins


Analysis: our benevole team has returned to work and as a result, we spar the analyses, with a rhythm of 2 weekly analyses.

We maintain  our  “360 reporting”  on a daily basis  and  will react  in  case of a new news d`actualiteitem.  


II .World: 3 Million observed cases

Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.

Prevalence: 3M (3,045) of active cases confirmed for observation

Historical vision: 6 M of historically  stated cases  and 3M  currently  under observation


By Continent: 55% of cases in America 20% still in Europe, 10% in Russia…

By Country:

Top 10 countries

United States 1.18 M (yesterday 1.17 M)

Brazil 264k (yesterday 247k)

Russia 225k (yesterday 225k)

United Kingdom 200k(maintained at their last known prevalence level)

India 90k (yesterday 86k)

Peru 85k (yesterday 85k)

Spain 62k (yesterday 62k)

Chile 53k (yesterday 51k)

Italy 44k (yesterday 46k))

Pakistan 41k (yesterday 40k)


124,000 new cases detected yesterday

Short time: more than 100k new daily cases

Long time (January  :  1):  er ) 

Vision Space:

Per continent: twice as many new cases in Latin America as in the USA.

By country: iconography in minute analysis

By country

Brazil 30k (30k yesterday)

USA 23k (25k yesterday)

Russia 8k (8k yesterday)

India 8k (8k yesterday)

Peru 7k (7k yesterday)

Chile 4k (4kyesterday)

Mexico 3k (3k yesterday)

Pakistan, Singapore, Indonesia, Philippines, Bangladesh, Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Qatar, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Sultanate of Oman, Belarus, Turkey, England, Spain, Sweden, France, South Africa, Canada, Egypt, Nigeria, Colombia, Ecuador, Argentina, Bolivia: 1 to 2k

3 Detail space  time  vision:  

4/ COVID FLOW:  Brazil

Our “Covidminute” team provides you with the “Covidflow” base (accessible on our platform: www., and thus gives you all the important elements for 151 countries as well as the American states.

Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.

Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle

Dr Guillaume ZAGURY

“All success is collective” thanks to:

o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed  Fadel, Dr.  Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,

o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)

o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.

o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”

o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation

If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development

computer (all the others have been volunteering for 88 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (

Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you