Winter in Latin America warms the virus….

Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides  a first-of-the-art  understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).

A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”. 

Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît  Rossignol,Gilles  Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created  for more than 100 days, will soon be available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (

I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)

I.1 France – Indicators to the green while remaining vigilant

342 patients hospitalized, 12 times less than during the peak (4500/jr)

I.2 Vision time: we follow Italy with 10 days lag

Comparative chronological evolution of resuscitation cases France/Italy

I.3 Europe:  2 million C(+) historically and  no second wave  observed  in countries ahead of us

I.4 Epidemic Mapping (reported active cases):

Nearly 100 “Wuhan”  active,:  Latin America is on fire  (young population)

I.5 World: still more than 100,000 cases  reported yesterday and for more than half in the  Americas  (4 South  American countries in the top 6)

II. 360-degree analysis: according to current…

 Ⅱ.A France – a good dynamic of conference  while remaining vigilant

A regional “space time”   vision is provided by this “comprehensive” table by our data analyst Carole Gabay:

Table”space time”by region

II.B Europe – follow-up of the 3 types of countries – no second wave yet observed

II.C WORLD: 6 million cases  C ()  stated  historical, 340 k deaths (up 5% of fatality) of which about 40% in Europe and 30% in the USA.

With the contribution of Dr. Bachir Athmani, Stéphane and Carole Gabay, companions of the first hour, whom I thank again for the unwavering support of yours.

Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.

 V.1 Prevalence: Prevalence:  2.87M active cases  confirmed for  observation

Vision time:

current prevalence:


Historical prevalence:  Epidemic growth since 1 January:  nearly  6 million cases reported cumulatively  

g';. Png

Source: John Hopkins University

Geographical vision:

  • Continent: 40% of cases in the USA, 20% in Europe and Latin America, Russia and the Middle East

Geographical vision:  5 homes  currently  – North and South America,  Europe, Middle East, Russia:    iconography in minute analysis

Top 10 countries: full country table  (time/space)  

Top 10 countries

United States 1.14 M (yesterday 1.14 M)

Russia 231k (yesterday 228k)

United Kingdom 200k(maintained at their last known prevalence level)

Brazil 198k (yesterday 191k)

France 89k (yesterday 90k)

India 80k (yesterday 77k)

Peru 69k (yesterday 67k)

Spain 59k (yesterday 57k)

Italy 55k (yesterday57k))

Chile 44k (yesterday 40k)

Pakistan 38k (yesterday 36k)

UK and NL maintained at their last known prevalence level.

V.2 Impact: 87k new cases reported yesterday


By continent: 30% new cases in Latin America, 22% in the USA, 11% in Russia and the Middle East and only 5% in Europe

By country: cf minute analysis 4 Latin American countries in the top 6

USA 18k (20k yesterday)

Brazil 11k (16k yesterday)

Russia 9k (9k yesterday)

India 6k (7k yesterday)

Chili 5k(4kyesterday)

Peru 4k (4k yesterday)

Mexico 3k (3k yesterday)

Pakistan, Bangladesh, Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Qatar, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Belarus, Turkey, England, South Africa, Canada, Egypt, Colombia, Ecuador: 1 to 2k

II.D SPACE TIME  TABLE:  3 Country Types (red-yellow-green)

Mortality :

More than 60 iconographies:  tables,graphs,  synth schemas syntheses…., on the site:,in the “Resources” section.

III. COVIDFLOW: The synthese tool

Example: Cuba

Our “Covidminute” team provides you with the “Covidflow” base (accessible on our platform: www., and thus gives you all the important elements for 151 countries as well as the American states.

Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.

Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle

Dr Guillaume ZAGURY

“All success is collective” thanks to:

o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed  Fadel, Dr.  Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,

o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)

o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.

o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”

o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation

If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development

computer (all the others have been volunteering for 88 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (

Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you