France: it’s time to move on!

… we do the same in agreement with our partners, with a reduced pace  reduce  to 2  reporting  /week  this  month  (and possible alert according to the news),and hoping for a quick end to the epidemy in the world (while remaining cautious / potential  seasonality or bounce!) …

Thank you for your trust and in the hope that we may have been useful to you,  
Dr. Guillaume Zagury and my team  of 28 speakers during  these  4-5 months(doctors, scientists, expert data, computer scientists,  social media  manager … ), which I sincerely thank.

I also wanted to thank our historic sponsors who were able to support us and enabled us to provide hard daily work.

Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides  a first-of-the-art  understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).

A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”. 

Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît  Rossignol,Gilles  Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created  for more than 100 days, are available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (

I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)

I.1 France D.Day – 27 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days) and Europe:

The dynamics of indicators  still green in France (200 k historical cases since the  beginning) : 

Hospitalizations C(+) daily: less than 200 in the current period  (/ 4281 – April 1st)

Source France Info

Current number of Hospitals  C(+) less than 5000 and range decrease over more than 9 weeks

Source France Info

Number of reaniation beds C(+) – 955 – less than 1000 (recall more than 6000 at peak)

R0: contagiosity index – 0.8  (epidemy  decline;  it  was at 2.8 on March 15)

I.2 Europe: no second wave in countries who lifted restrictions before France

Note that some countries (Greece, Finland, Ireland…) declare certain results only randomly.

I.3 World – size equation : still around 100k daily new cases reported

Geography of  C(+)currently  declared: (the “connected megacities”):    The  Americas still in turbulence

Prevalence World: Top 10 Countries (attention data – dependent test):  The US on the shelf and Latin America in epidemic phase

New daily cases “Top10” countries: always Brazil and USA (20k cases / jr)… let’s keep an eye on the BRI…

Cumulative death (350 k official victims): The “Occident” paid a high price: 85% of the  death  rate declared  


II. World: 2 Million historical cases for the US (including just over half 1.15 M still under observation)

Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.

II.1 Overall prevalence:

Time approach: 8 million historical cases

II.2 Incidence: 135 000  new cases detected yesterday

III. Detail space  time  vision:  

III.1 Cases declared:

III.2 In terms of mortality, Brazil is also in the head:

The West is the first victim, to  date, with about 3/4 of the 400,000  victims:  USA (30%)- UK/Italy/France (10%) –  Rest of EU (15%)

III.3 Evolution  of  mortality/day according to time and space



Israel is facing a  very  slight increase in contamination due  to a very limited containment period over time. This has led to a massive screening of certain “clusters” (especially schools), with  very little impact in terms of  mortality  (see young terrain): it remains remarkably low, in a country where the life expectancy  is European type  European  (300  deaths  for a population of around 9 million inhabitants .. or a mortality index/million inhabitants unrelated to western European countries  in mortality !… but do not conclude too quickly, and let us remain humble, and look to the future …).

updated with each article publication. CovidFLow continues to be updated daily for over 200 countries and 50 states

Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.

Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle

Dr Guillaume ZAGURY

“All success is collective” thanks to:

o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed  Fadel, Dr.  Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,

o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)

o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.

o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”

o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation

If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development

computer (all the others have been volunteering for 130 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (

Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you

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