… we do the same in agreement with our partners, with a reduced pace reduce to 2 reporting /week this month (and possible alert according to the news),and hoping for a quick end to the epidemy in the world (while remaining cautious / potential seasonality or bounce!) …
Thank you for your trust and in the hope that we may have been useful to you,
Dr. Guillaume Zagury and my team of 28 speakers during these 4-5 months(doctors, scientists, expert data, computer scientists, social media manager … ), which I sincerely thank.
I also wanted to thank our historic sponsors who were able to support us and enabled us to provide hard daily work.
Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides a first-of-the-art understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).
A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”.
Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît Rossignol,Gilles Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created for more than 100 days, are available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (www.covidminute.com).
I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)
I.1 France D.Day – 27 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days) and Europe:
The dynamics of indicators still green in France (200 k historical cases since the beginning) :
Hospitalizations C(+) daily: less than 200 in the current period (/ 4281 – April 1st)
Source France Info
Current number of Hospitals C(+) less than 5000 and range decrease over more than 9 weeks
Source France Info
Number of reaniation beds C(+) – 955 – less than 1000 (recall more than 6000 at peak)
R0: contagiosity index – 0.8 (epidemy decline; it was at 2.8 on March 15)
I.2 Europe: no second wave in countries who lifted restrictions before France
Note that some countries (Greece, Finland, Ireland…) declare certain results only randomly.
I.3 World – size equation : still around 100k daily new cases reported
Geography of C(+)currently declared: (the “connected megacities”): The Americas still in turbulence
Prevalence World: Top 10 Countries (attention data – dependent test): The US on the shelf and Latin America in epidemic phase
New daily cases “Top10” countries: always Brazil and USA (20k cases / jr)… let’s keep an eye on the BRI…
Cumulative death (350 k official victims): The “Occident” paid a high price: 85% of the death rate declared
II. World: 2 Million historical cases for the US (including just over half 1.15 M still under observation)
Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.
II.1 Overall prevalence:
Time approach: 8 million historical cases
II.2 Incidence: 135 000 new cases detected yesterday
III. Detail space time vision:
III.1 Cases declared:
III.2 In terms of mortality, Brazil is also in the head:
The West is the first victim, to date, with about 3/4 of the 400,000 victims: USA (30%)- UK/Italy/France (10%) – Rest of EU (15%)
III.3 Evolution of mortality/day according to time and space
IV. COVID FLOW:
Israel is facing a very slight increase in contamination due to a very limited containment period over time. This has led to a massive screening of certain “clusters” (especially schools), with very little impact in terms of mortality (see young terrain): it remains remarkably low, in a country where the life expectancy is European type European (300 deaths for a population of around 9 million inhabitants .. or a mortality index/million inhabitants unrelated to western European countries in mortality !… but do not conclude too quickly, and let us remain humble, and look to the future …).
updated with each article publication. CovidFLow continues to be updated daily for over 200 countries and 50 states
Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.
Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle
Dr Guillaume ZAGURY
“All success is collective” thanks to:
o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed Fadel, Dr. Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,
o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)
o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.
o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”
o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation
If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development
computer (all the others have been volunteering for 130 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (email@example.com).
Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you