The BRIcS … without China!

I thank the different companions of the road (more than 26!), who at one time or another have contributed, under my direction, to the development of this site.

Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides  a first-of-the-art  understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).

A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”. 

Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît  Rossignol,Gilles  Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created  for more than 100 days, will soon be available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (

I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)

I.1 France D.Day – 22 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days) and Europe:

No second wave.

Less than 100 new cases yesterday, versus 4000 at the peak.. remain  confident and “vigilant”: no equivalent historical model, and the Spanish Flu of 1918-19 has evolved into two phases

I.2 World:

(-100k cases “officially” declared yesterday): Latin America  (up 50%  Brazil)and Russia in the epidemique phase, … ( + Subcontinent  and South Africa,  to  watch.

I.3 In total:

More than 100 Wuhan in the world, in a global East-West movement (Asia, Europe, USA) that should normally remain there: but let’s be modest in any  prevision, in the absence of a historical model for this new virus.


Source John Hopkins


Analysis: our volunteer team has returned to work and as a result, we spar the analyses, with a rhythm of 2 weekly analyses.

We maintain  our  “360 reporting”  on a daily basis  and  will react  in  case of a new news d`actualiteitem.  


II .World: A virus difficult  to  anticipate: Under Indian Continent and South Africa?

Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.

Prevalence: 3,090,000 of active cases confirmed for observation

Historical vision: 6 M of historically  stated cases  and 3M  currently  under observation


By Continent: 40% of cases in the USA, 20% in Latin America and Europe, 10% in Russia, 3% in Africa.

By Country:

Top 10 countries

United States 1.14 M (yesterday 1.19 M)

Brazil 289k (yesterday 280k)

Russia 234k (yesterday 229k)

United Kingdom 200k(maintained at their last known prevalence level)

India 97k (yesterday 93k)

Peru 97k (yesterday 93k)

France 92k (yesterday 92k)

Spain 63k (yesterday 62k)

Chile 59k (yesterday 56k)

Pakistan 45k (yesterday 43k)

Italy 41k(yesterday 42k)

IMPACT: +/-100,000 new cases detected yesterday

Vision Space:

Per continent: 40% of new cases in Latin America, 20% in the USA, 17% in the Indian subcontinent

By country

USA 20k (20k yesterday)

Brazil 10k (16k yesterday)

Russia 9k (9k yesterday)

India 8k (9k yesterday)

Peru 6k (9k yesterday)

Chile 5k (5k yesterday)

Mexico 3k (3k yesterday)

Iran 3k (3k yesterday)

Pakistan 3k (3k yesterday)

Bangladesh 2k (3k yesterday)

Philippines, Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates,  Sultanate of Oman, Belarus, Turquie, South Africa, Canada,  Egypt:  1 to 2k

3 Detail space  time  vision:  

Roughly: currently:

-40% of these observed  in  Latin America

-20% in the US

– 20% in Europe

– 20% the rest in the Indian subcontinent  and the Middle East.

4/ COVID FLOW:  Inde

Our “Covidminute” team provides you with the “Covidflow” base (accessible on our platform: www., and thus gives you all the important elements for 151 countries as well as the American states.

Keep in mind the “3M reflex” (Hands-Masques-Metre) to get protect and “reflex 4M” (Hands-Masques-Meter-… Minute) for frail people… but above all to protect the most vulnerable.

Confidence and solidarity for this collective struggle

Dr Guillaume ZAGURY

“All success is collective” thanks to:

o The entire “GCMN” (Global Covid Medical Network) “Medical” team: Dr. Bachir Athmani, Dr. Marc Abecassis, Dr. Mohamed  Fadel, Dr.  Emily Kara, Dr. Jean Michel Serfaty, Dr. Ibrahim Souare, Dr. Jonathan Taieb …) that allow this project to exist,

o The entire data analysis and IT team: Carole Gabay (“Data Analysis Expert”), Richard Coffre (exceptional webmaster), Flavien Palero (digital manager), Mathieu Bouquet (for his contribution passée)

o The whole “Communication” team (Flavien Palero, Laetitia, Marie, Alison…): without whom this project would not have been possible.

o All the historical financial patrons (Jérôme, Benjamin Denis and the Consulting Company B Square, Benoit Rossignol, Arnaud Bricout and TAG Advisory and Gilles Langourieux, Sabrina Rocca…) who work for “Citizen Actions”

o We also thank the Paul Benetot Foundation

If you feel like a patron or partner to fund development

computer (all the others have been volunteering for 88 days!), don’t hesitate to contact me (

Also, our team, although partly based in Shanghai, will be delighted to welcome you