The French football, also late in war, must re-identify…

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I am thankful to the many companions of the road (more than 26!), who at one time or another have contributed, under my direction, to the development of this website.

Dr. Guillaume Zagury, based in Shanghai, a specialist in international public health and health innovations, comments for the Community on a day-to-day basis on the evolution of the epidemic for more than three months, and provides  a first-of-the-art  understanding on its “country and region analysis” and predictable consequences (experiments of SARS in 2003 and Covid-19 in China).

A remarkable multidisciplinary volunteer team allows the realization of this analysis which is intended to be factual and objective (by the way, do not hesitate to join us: mail below):”every success is collective”.”. 

Beyond the volunteer skills, this project was made possible by the support of our citizens’ vision patrons: the Paul Bennetot Foundation (Matmut Foundation under the aegis of the Foundation of the Future), B Square, Tag Advisory, Daxue Consulting, as well as various fellow travelers (Jérôme, Dr. Benoît  Rossignol,Gilles  Langourieux,…)
All our illustrations created  for more than 100 days, are available to you on our website and you can download a large part of them. (www.covidminute.com).

I. COVID 360 “MINUTE”: graphs and maps (80% of the information)

I.1 France D.Day – 25 days (cf incubation of the disease – 20 days) and Europe:

Health indicators present a favorable dynamic (hospitalizations, reanimation beds (-43), …): 2 regions under watch (IDF, Guyana), while learning to gradually “turn the page” …

What matters is the dynamics:

• Lockdown : one of the major measures
• Other assumptions explored to explain the slightest viral virulence:

Natural Cycle

Temperature and humidity

Immunite crosses (/ other coronavirus for example)

I.2 France is still 10 days behind Italy :

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I.3 Europe: no second wave in countries who lifted restrictions before France

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Note that some countries (Greece, Finland, Ireland,..) declare certain results only on a weekly basis.

I.4 World – size equation : still around 100k daily new cases reported

BRI always to watch and the USA (trend decline)

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I.5 Let’s monitor Latin America in the epidemic phase (under probable declaration):

Brazil for about 60% of cases.

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II. Analysis: The Foot needs to “spread” itself, and let’s see some elements of discussion:

I thank my friend Flavien Palero with whom I share the passion of the round ball, for his contribution.

II.1. The anti-Covid health processes will be hoped for the “transitional”  so as not to “kill” players and spectators:

– Before matches:  Medical test to start training (and avoid a new Cluster as in Bergamo)

-During  the match: celebration of goals  (remote!), wearing the mask on the bench,  limiting or even absence of the 12th man (support them  if ,…)

II.2. Show economics:  a before and an after Covid

Because the  40 Professional Clubs in  France are on the brink of financial abyss  (few revenues for 3 months: March 1st-June 1st):

2.1 Revenues depend mainly on 3sources:

• 40% of TVrights,
• 20% for merchandising (swimsuits, sponsorship of equipment , and this while the communication budget of traditional media is likely to be impacted in priority. Note that the sponsorship pays off each year atx Clubs450M E.
• Stadiumilletterie des stades  seats:  23k spectators on average for an L1  match with an average ticket of 20  Euros)

2.2 Expenditure:

XXL salaries to be paid (60% of expenses):

II.3. Lack of earnings  as a result of this case of  “Major  Force”?  

Force Majeur If the season does not resume loss estimated at 300M E (KPMG)

Different elements are in negociatons following the unique and uncesorable episode of the Covid: with TV broadcasters, sports equipment (Adidas, Nike…) .

Similarly, the contracts will give rise to intense discussions (definition of the Major Force,… )

II.4. Economic players  reposition themselves    and sports equipment manufacturers try to resume the “consumer”    offensive   

According to a recent study(900 sports-related companies surveyed))

60% of the companies were looking  to renegotiate their contract downwards.

• So the new Nike ad on the “come back” as a nod to Covid19 and the return to competition.
• It should be noted that Adidas’ profit fell by 97% in the first quarter of 2020 and that at the same time, Nike suffered a 20% loss in its revenue.

II.5. Recent movements observed  in the  Media:  let’s follow the  soon-to-be 50’s   “TeleFoot”  

a. Note the partnershipbetween the Sino-Spanish group Mediapro and TF1 to produce “Telefoot”  (43 years of longevite):  

The latter had been losing momentum for years (peaks. mainly when the EDF makes headlines). )

Mediapro has   big ambitions,,  and will broadcast the L1 and L2 matches from next season until  2024. Unknown still by the general public,  this group recovered the rights in front of former  “behemoths”:s   :  “Bein sports”,  Canal, SFR Sport, RMC sport… « 

b. During the Covid19 , L’Equipe offered a subscription at less than 90%  of the usual price (all retrospectives are passed,  … )

c. Purchase of “Sportfive” by Lagardère Sport

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III. France: – An eye on the DOM-TOM

(Remind that New Caledonia has been CovidFree for more than a month), which evolve positively: let’s watch nevertheless, the Guyanne and Mayotte

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IV. World: USA-Brazil-Russia-UK

Beware of certain figures (number of cases, deaths…) that are highly questionable because they vary from country to country (e.g. availability of tests), with measurement biases and therefore major under-reporting in some countries.

Prevalence: 3.3 M  active cases confirmed for observation,  40% of which are in the US

By Country:

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IMPACT: 120,000  new cases detected yesterday

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Detail space  time  vision:  

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V. COVID FLOW:  India

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Our “Covidminute” team provides you with the “Covidflow” interactive web pags (accessible on the link below), displaying multiple metrics on the epidemic for over 200 countries as well as the American states.

https://eng.covidminute.com/covid-flow/